The Hazelnut Effect

On early Thursday, November 21, 2024, the world was changed.

Russia launched an intermediate range hypersonic missile with multiple MIRVs at the Yuzhmash industrial complex in the ukrainian city of Dnepropetrovsk.

The name of the missile is Oreshnik, or hazelnut. 

This was also the frist time in history that such a weapon was used in warfare.

The missile impact was so devastating, it leveled the territory of the plant according to reliable eyewitnesses, and obliterated the underground level facilities where ukrainian and NATO technicians and advisors were working on creating longer range missiles.

And this missile had conventional warheads, or may even be a kinetic energy weapon.

The missile has sent fear through the US and NATO militaries and high commands. None of them possess the means to intercept these missiles, and they are all vulnerable to non-nuclear destruction.

Since then, NATO fear has been covered up with a gratuitous amount of butthurt and coping, as well as empty threats of some NATO retaliation and even some pre-emptive strikes on Russia. 

But this is all being said to cover up their fear and helplessness.

This missile creates a major psychological dilemma for the west. 

If one of these missiles destroys a key target in a NATO country, without a nuclear blast, how does the US justify a nuclear strike on Russia? 

The gung-ho NAFO type freaks and warmongering neo-cons will just say it doesn't matter and that the US must just use nukes regardless. 

But it's not that clear cut. 

If the US decides to respond to a non-nuclear attack, no matter how devastating, by using a nuke in response, how will that look like? And Russia will then answer with nukes which means a permanent destruction and poisoning for a very long time. 

Russia just created a new paradigm that makes it much more difficult and risky for the US to respond with nuclear weapons. Nukes are the only things NATO has that can do any real damage. US has nothing else formidable other than that to use. 

But can it? Does the US want to, once again, be seen as a serial nuclear killer, the destroyer of countries, and be wiped off the map itself?

Most likely, if a non-nuclear device is launched at the US, US will be compelled into walking off the battlefield. 

Because even though the US establishment is staffed by morons, even morons have some sense of self-preservation. And nukes are a point-of-no-return for both sides. Russia understands that. If nukes are not used, there is always an off-ramp.

And Russia has just created such a situation.

So the US and NATO better listen, and take that off-ramp.

Here is the video of the arrival of the Oreshnik missile in ukraine.