The last weeks have been a whirlwind of all sorts of happenings in ukraine.
The zelstein regime broke two temporary ceasefires, a 30-day infrastructure ceasefire, and an Easter ceasefire.
Russians were under no illusion that ukrops will honor these, and agreed to these token gestures as a way to show, and prove to everyone that the ukrainian regime is incapable of honoring any agreements, so there is no sense in entering into anything with them.
Violating these agreements played into Russian hands, which has now made a strong case for not having to give anyone anything. And the whole time, Trump and his handlers ignored ukrainian violations as if they never happened.
So ukraine has only made its situation worse, and Trump looks like a chump for thinking that the urkops can keep their word.
It seems like the combined west doesn't care if ukraine breaks any promises to, and agreements with Russia, as long as kiev doesn't cross the west.
Because for all the talk and fluffy rhetoric about 'US understanding this,' or 'Trump respecting that,' the main aim of the Trump regime and the EU is the preservation of the kiev regime, and the reconstitution of its armed forces for another confrontation with Russia later down the line.
US wants a total and indefinite ceasefire in ukraine without agreeing to any permanent terms or agreements with Russia. Trump is incapable of even making any agreement into a law. He just wants an open-ended, ambiguous gentleman's handshake agreement that promises Russia no permanent settlement of the conflict that will be valid until he leaves office, just like the rest of his presidential decrees.
And Trump leaves, the next oddity in the white house will be free to tear up any agreement he made with Russia and throw it away. And then what?
Trump desperately wants a deal by the end of April because he is approaching a May deadline when all aid to ukraine agreed to by the previous Biden regime comes to a stop.
So Trump will either have to honor that dealine and stop all aid, or approve more aid. If he does this, and he most likely will if he doesn't get his deal by next month, he will make the ukrainian conflict his own, and Russians will simply stop dealing with the US and roll over what remains of ukraine.
Trump will also lose face in front of his supporters, and the rest of his years in office will be very uncomfortable.
What has Trump done during all these weeks of talking?
Did Trump allow Russian consulates in the US that were order closed in the past 8 years to reopen? No.
Did Trump allow Russian diplomatic property that was confiscated to be given back to Russians? No.
Did Trump lift restrictions for Russian airliners to fly to the US? No.
Did Trump lift any of the sanctions that were slapped on Russia as part of the RussiaGate hoax that was proven to be untrue? No.
Trump hasn't done anything but talk. Foreign policy is his purview as he is the president. Yet he appears to be incapable of making any independent decisions, even simple ones, to show that he is serious about repairing ties with Russia.
And since the US started this entire mess, it is on its leaders to make the first move toward normalization of relations.
Russians will not agree to some lame, watered-down agreement that settles nothing permanently, and leaves the post-maidan regime in place and allows the west to rearm the ukrop military.
Neither US or EU can afford to individually support ukraine. They cannot even do it together anymore.
If the US pulls the plug, the EU will have to, as well. All the bluster about sending 'peacekeeping forces' to ukraine, and the EU continuing to support ukraine with money and weapons it doesn't have is just futile PR.
The only option Trump has is to walk away from ukraine, stop all aid and assistance, and let Russia handle it.
No comments:
Post a Comment