A Few Options

With the Russian mobilization forces currently undergoing training, and a looming offensive of some kind against what remains of the ukrop forces in the works, it is a chance to explore some options Russia may take as far as military movements go.

These are two possible options Russia may exercise, or something like them.

Option # 1

All existing bridges and possible crossings across the Dnieper river are taken out with airstrikes to cut ukraine in two to make resupply of ukrop forces impossible, thereby trapping them inside a huge cauldron with nowhere safe to go.

Russian mobilized forces from Russia and Belarus sweep down from the North along the Eastern bank of the Dnieper river, and freed up Russian forces pulled from Kherson move South. Large cities are cut off from the rest of ukraine, but bypassed by Russian forces for now. These cities will eventually capitulate for lack of everything their populations need to live.

ukrop forces in Donbass will most likely panic, and immediately move west to support their forces, thereby leaving Donbass to be easily overrun by the LDPR forces. They will then be squeezed between the Dnieper and Donbass groups, and either be annihilated, or surrender en masse, to the tune of tens of thousands of soldier. Massive amounts of weapons and ammo will be destroyed and seized by Russian and allied forces.

Russia will also control half of kiev.

All these lands can be kept in perpetuity, or as a bargaining chip for other concessions, like Russia's security demands, and Odessa.

Option #2

Like in option#1, all possible crossings across the Dnieper river are destroyed to cut both sides of ukraine off from each other and make reinforcement impossible.

A large Russian mobilized contingent sweeps down from Belarus along the polish-Ukrainian border, cutting ukrops off from supply lines. 

A smaller force enters ukraine from the North in Chernihiv region, and stops within a comfortable long-range artillery distance from Kiev, lays siege to it, and fixes its artillery on the waterway between both halves of the city to ensure there are no reinforcements.

The Russian forces in the west move in on as much of ukrop land as possible, while the troops on the Eastern side deal with the cut-off ukrops who can no longer be supplied.  Brunt of forces and massive airstrikes are dedicated to the western side of the Dnieper to support the Russian grouping from the North.  

Ukrop forces on the Eastern side of the riverbank panic, and rush west, leaving Donbass to be taken by LDRP troops; or stay put and get annihilated and captured.

We may see something like these options, or a variation of these options in the near future.

This analysis is based on the activity of Russian forces in Belarus, and the recent decision of the Russian MoD to pull its Kherson contingent to the left bank of the Dnieper river.

This leaves the question of what would NATO do, but since a direct confrontation between NATO and Russia is off the table for obvious reasons, NATO and the EUSUK axis responses would be limited to emotional temper tantrums, whining, and a few more useless sanctions.

So why fight the ukrops in Donbass for each ran-down village, road and factory when the ukrops can simply be cut off from rest of ukraine and squashed?