Saturday, September 28, 2019

A Permanent Cure

The US, due to its own failures and ineptness, has been piling on sanctions on Iran in order to pressure it to give in to US demands.

The EU, which has been playing the 'good cop' to the US 'bad cop,' has also violated the terms of the JCPOA by relenting to US sanctions on Iran.

The EU has been trying to cajole Iran into staying in the agreement, without any benefit to Iran, by dangling promises such as the setting up of a trading mechainsm between Iran and the EU that would bypass US sanctions and enable EU companies to do business with Iran. But this mechanism itself would be subject to US approval, control, and would be sanctioned itself.

So the EU, lacking the courage to provide sanctions relief for Iran, has decided to join in with the US by falsely blaming Iran for the Aramco refinery bombings. 


All EU officials know that Iran did not do this. But by falsely blaming Iran, and taking the wrong side of the lying US regime, the EU is trying to turn reality upside-down by making it look like it is Iran that has been the bad actor, and get itself off the hook for the failures and violations of its own obligations under the JCPOA.

There is no longer any point of Iran appealing to the EU, which has unfairly decided to join the US sanctions regime against Iran. It is doubtful that the EU will do the right thing here.

So, what next?

The US and the EU must be forced to do the right thing,and rejoin the JCPOA under current terms and honor their commitments.

How to do this?

Like this: Russia and China should sign a defense pact with Iran, admit it to the SCO, invest in Iran's economy, institute technology-sharing, and sell Iran arms.

In return for this, Iran remains in the JCPOA and complies with all its terms, and suspends all work and research on missile technology.

That way, Iran would be assured full security, the US and EU could not touch it, or use the excuse that Iran is no longer following the JCPOA and is therefore 'building nuclear weapons and delivery systems.' Such a move by Russia and China would cut off the US and EU's legs from under them.

But since there is also the risk of reciprocation by a recalcitrant US regime against Russia-for example in Ukraine or Georgia-Russia and China should make all the terms of the defense agreement temporary in nature until the US regime and the EU rejoin the JCPOA, annull all sanctions, and come to an agreement with Iran's government, as it is.

Although the US could try the same strategy against Russia and China, bear in mind that Russia and China are not aggressive, expansionist powers and do not seek to violently impose their will on others through regime changes and such. So the US enacting the same strategy would not affect either country in any serious way. It would, at worse, lead to a stalemate and actually prevent further wars and unrest. And Russia also has the option of expanding its defense agreement and protection to, for example, Donbass.


China currently has such an agreement with North Korea since the 1960s, and the US is treading very carefully.

And to speed things up, Russia and China can give the US 24 months to come around, or else Iran will be put under the Russian nuclear umbrella. If the US is still defiant, then Russia and China should give the US 12 more months. And if the US still refuses to act in a civilized and responsible manner, then Russia and China should make the entire agreement permanent.

If the US gives in (and it will have to), Russia and China should serve as guarantors of the agreement, and the moment the US or EU violate its terms in any way, the defense agreement will come into full force. With such a sword hanging over the US regime and the feckless, cowardly, and pathetic EU establishment, sanctions and regime change fantasies against Iran would be ended, permanently.

When the US realizes the game is up, it will have to behave itself.

It is time for Russia and China to step up, and put their feet down. Enough is enough. The US is scared of both countries and will not confront them, or any nation they are partnered with militarily. Look at Syria. US got cut down to size there because of Russia's military involvement. This is effective, and will definitely work in regards to Iran.

What do Russia and China have to lose? The US is already sanctioning them for doing business with Iran and for other things, so they might as well get something for it. Such a defense agreement with Iran would work. The US would most likely relent, and the EU would quickly follow.

A Russian/Chinese/Iranian defense agreement is the best option for them, and other nations. It would take any wars against Iran permanently off-the-table, and it would also benefit the US, as well.


Such a scenario isn't some pie-in-the-sky vision. Russia and China have already pledged help to Tehran, and a formal defense pact would just be a formality.
 

The alternative is more anti-Iranian taunting, provocations, threats and false flags that will cause more problems in the future for everyone. It is best to nip this US-led kookery in the bud, ASAP, in a resolute and effective way.

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