What Does the Future Hold?

The limited intelligence and imagination of the pro-US/western/NATO Russophobes and chauvinists just cannot comprehend and accept the ultimate and undeniable FACT: that US influence, wealth, and power is declining.

The signs are all around us. New, non-western-based economic partnerships are forming which will change the way things are done in the world. 

But the US bully who has been getting its way for half a century is having a hard time accepting and adjusting to these monumental changes. To stave off the inevitable, the desperate US regime lashes out at everyone, blindly and irresponsibly, in order to cling to their waning power. But the current US aggressive behavior is just a death rattle; a phenomenon akin to narcotic withdrawal. 

In 15-20 years, barring any US initiated worldwide military conflagration, the world will be different, and the US will be just a regional power at best, but not in any way a world power, ever again. No one has their place in the sun forever. The Greeks, Romans, Turks, Britons and Russians have learned this. They went through this cycle, and the US is starting to do so. 

But the good thing is that when the US finally accepts its new position it could lead to the US reforming itself and becoming a more responsible, civilized and respected member of the international community.

So what’s to come for the US in this new reality?

I can think of two main scenarios that will cause momentous and permanent changes in the US. These changes will be either peripherally or internally-caused. 

Whichever it will be, there’s no doubt that the first victims of these changes will be the EU and NATO alliances.


Peripheral Changes

US imperial-military overstretch will eventually exhaust its resources, and that of its allies. This process is already underway. Let’s not forget that the EU is going through economic convulsions. 

If these two processes continue, and it looks like they will, we may see mass upheavals against US vassal state governments in the EU, which are the bedrock of US power overseas. Governments in these countries will be replaced with ones that are more nationalistic and which will undoubtedly and permanently cut themselves off from US control and influence. We can already see this starting to happen with the popularity of nationalist, Euro/US skeptic parties winning elections in EU countries.

The negative fallout for EU economies due to the Washington-forced anti-Russian sanctions is also driving more nations away from the US.

This detachment will lead to dramatic changes in these formerly US-vassal states. These countries will distance themselves from destructive US policies and join Eastern economic blocs and partnerships such as BRICS, EEU, and possibly SCO and others. They may form their own economic blocs, free from US influence, and partner with Euro-Asiatic ones.

Those US-vassal states intent on staying ‘with the US’ will face two choices: further social and political upheaval, and violence driven by economic factors. This will in turn bring about a dictatorial form of government, unaccountable to the people, followed by its eventual overthrow and replacement by one that distances itself from the US and breaks from the stale and outdated US-driven ‘Atlanticist consensus.’

Or even without immediate violent upheavals, these countries will face increasing economic stagnation and isolation due to the waning power of the US, the loss of US influence and control over other European countries, and the growth of other, non-US-led economic blocs. But even in this situation the patience of the populations in these countries will wear thin and they’ll demand changes which will end up with leaving the Washington consensus sooner or later.


Internal Changes

US imperial overstretch, and the growth of rival economic blocs will erode US wealth and influence.

US tries to manipulate financial markets and enacts sanctions against rival economic powers.

The dollar is dumped as international reserve and oil trading currency. The US economy falters. The US will no longer be able to finance its wars and the bribing of vassal states.

China and other creditors stop loaning US money and call in their debts. 

US economy grows worse. Prices go up. Credit becomes extremely expensive. Jobs evaporate. Incomes disappear.

US military bases overseas become isolated islands surrounded by angry and hostile populations.

Social unrest follows. Masses of unemployed and hungry people stage mass rallies. The government can’t or won’t help them.

People get angry and desperate. Unrest and violence begins in cities.

Martial law is declared. Military is brought into the streets.

Militant groups attack government buildings. Towns, counties, states and regions rebel. 


Long dormant American separatist movements come out and gain influence.

US military is unable to cope with the unrest or refuses to kill their own people. US soldiers desert in droves.

US-vassal states, seeing the US is in a state of imminent collapse, and to stave off the same, defect en masse for better socio-economic waters.

Without its allies and economic position, the US is now isolated.

At this point, either a civil war ensues within the US, or the US govt. is quickly overthrown and a new one comes into being. It may also fracture into independent statelets and/or regions.

Whatever the case, US permanently loses its status as a world power.

Its empire of military bases crumbles and is liquidated. 


Aftermath and Options

US is forced to seek and beg for help and inclusion from new economic powers, which grant it, with strings attached.

The US could choose to go for broke and use nuclear weapons to destroy its rivals, but the threat of retaliation would make such a move suicidal; a nuke-free, conventional war even more so. 

US could exploit pro-US non-NATO puppet regimes to launch proxy wars against its rivals, but as we’ve seen in Georgia in 2008 and recently in Ukraine, such an option doesn’t work since these countries are too small and weak to succeed, even with US training and arms. The US, as a rule, won’t get directly and visibly involved to help them either, as that would mean possibly committing themselves to a war with Russia or China. Since both of these nations are nuclear powers, this is not an option.

A better, and in fact the best way for the US to move forward is to accept its limitations, roll back its wasteful and destructive wars and policies, and make partnerships and alliances with countries now—alliances and partnerships based on equality, respect and consensus, not bribery, threats and force. This formula isn’t working anymore, and will fail in the long-run. The US use of NATO to pressure and threaten Russia is a prime example of this futile and failing policy.

The US has only two choices: lose some now or lose a lot more later. There’s no win-win here for the US anymore.

It’s time for the US to take a graceful bow, recede into the background in a quiet, dignified and respectful manner, and salvage something out of its failures and blunders.