Saturday, November 22, 2014

Talk is Cheap!

Iran and the P5+1 group are currently in the 11th hour of hammering out a permanent agreement that will govern Iran's nuclear program and the lifting of sanctions.
 

The technical obstacles have been overcome, and the main stumbling block to inking a final, permanent agreement is the refusal of the US to commit to the removal of sanctions against Iran.


It seems that the US wants Iran to be under strict international obligation to limit its nuclear work, but at the same time get only limited sanctions relief. The US wants the UN sanctions at least to stay in-force even if an agreement is signed.


This is hypocritical and unfair. The reason why the US wants the UN sanctions to stay is because it obligates all nations to abide by the sanctions, thus isolating Iran globally. It's easier for Iran to go around US or EU-only sanctions than UN ones. 


Second, if these UN sanctions are lifted, the US knows that if it tries to pass more in the future it will never happen because Russia, and most likely China as well, will veto any anti-Iranian sanction resolutions from now on.
 

It's indeed strange that the US insists on some sanctions to stay even if an agreement is signed. This shows that there's more going on behind the scenes, and that this whole Iranian nuclear crisis is not just about Iran's nuclear program. It's also about other things.


Undoubtedly the US and the EU are using the cover of these nuclear negotiations to cajole and twist Iran's arm to be more compliant with US/EU foreign and economic policies. Should Iran relent, the west will certainly use Iran's increased access to the west, and vice-versa, as a springboard and tool to fund, form, and create 'pro-democracy' groups and other corrupt troublemakers to enact regime change inside Iran. This technique was used in Libya, with terrible results.


So those who think that these nuclear negotiations were/are just about Iran's nuclear program are naïve and foolish. There's a lot more to it than that.


Frankly, if I was an Iranian diplomat or politician, I'd be more weary and suspicious if the US DOES sign an agreement. Any entry given to the US by any country, especially a country with which the US was at odds in the past, must be strictly guarded and watched.


Judging by the back-pedaling, and refusal of, the US to commit to the total lifting of all sanctions in return for Iran's cooperation, I suspect that the US regime has changed its mind and doesn't want an agreement.


Why?

It's all about shallow politics at this point. The US currently has a democratic administration which has by now outdone the Bush regime in lies, scandal, and war-crimes. The democrats just lost control of the house and senate. The democratic party will desperately seek to restore those majorities in future elections, and that's where wealthy and influential pro-Israeli Jews come in. In order to get their money and votes, the democrats will have to do what these pro-Israeli Jews want, and the number#1 item on their list undoubtedly is NO AGREEMENT WITH IRAN. 



If this happens, Obummer and Hairy Kerry will just falsely blame the failure on Iran's "intransigence" and "duplicity" and most likely put some blame on the Russians as well.
 

I'd like to be optimistic about the outcome of this agreement, but judging by the vile and criminal US behavior in the world just in the last 3+ years, I just don't see anything good coming out of all this talking.
 

All I have to say is: Iran, be ready with a powerful deterrent.


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