The Hazelnut Effect

On early Thursday, November 21, 2024, the world was changed.

Russia launched an intermediate range hypersonic missile with multiple MIRVs at the Yuzhmash industrial complex in the ukrainian city of Dnepropetrovsk.

The name of the missile is Oreshnik, or hazelnut. 

This was also the frist time in history that such a weapon was used in warfare.

The missile impact was so devastating, it leveled the territory of the plant according to reliable eyewitnesses, and obliterated the underground level facilities where ukrainian and NATO technicians and advisors were working on creating longer range missiles.

And this missile had conventional warheads, or may even be a kinetic energy weapon.

The missile has sent fear through the US and NATO militaries and high commands. None of them possess the means to intercept these missiles, and they are all vulnerable to non-nuclear destruction.

Since then, NATO fear has been covered up with a gratuitous amount of butthurt and coping, as well as empty threats of some NATO retaliation and even some pre-emptive strikes on Russia. 

But this is all being said to cover up their fear and helplessness.

This missile creates a major psychological dilemma for the west. 

If one of these missiles destroys a key target in a NATO country, without a nuclear blast, how does the US justify a nuclear strike on Russia? 

The gung-ho NAFO type freaks and warmongering neo-cons will just say it doesn't matter and that the US must just use nukes regardless. 

But it's not that clear cut. 

If the US decides to respond to a non-nuclear attack, no matter how devastating, by using a nuke in response, how will that look like? And Russia will then answer with nukes which means a permanent destruction and poisoning for a very long time. 

Russia just created a new paradigm that makes it much more difficult and risky for the US to respond with nuclear weapons. Nukes are the only things NATO has that can do any real damage. US has nothing else formidable other than that to use. 

But can it? Does the US want to, once again, be seen as a serial nuclear killer, the destroyer of countries, and be wiped off the map itself?

Most likely, if a non-nuclear device is launched at the US, US will be compelled into walking off the battlefield. 

Because even though the US establishment is staffed by morons, even morons have some sense of self-preservation. And nukes are a point-of-no-return for both sides. Russia understands that. If nukes are not used, there is always an off-ramp.

And Russia has just created such a situation.

So the US and NATO better listen, and take that off-ramp.

Here is the video of the arrival of the Oreshnik missile in ukraine.

Strategy and Incitement

Russia’s recent official ratification of changes to its nuclear posture by President Vladimir Putin has rattled many people, both pro and anti-Russian ones.

Many now think that Russia is about to play fast and loose with nukes, and that we are all about to witness a nuclear war.

But this is not true.

This updated Russian nuclear doctrine is a good thing for ALL of Europe. Why?

Because it will prevent the US and rest of NATO from using some other poor country as cannon fodder to fight Russian while pumping them full of weapons from a safe distance.

This doctrine also means that the US will not be able to push its token NATO vassals into ukraine to fight Russia under the guise of some fraudulent ‘non-NATO peacekeeping intervention' without being held accountable.

In both cases now, Russia will consider an attack under any kind of pretext by any NATO-member state or allied one, as a direct attack on Russia by ALL of NATO, and Russia will hold ALL of NATO, including the US, 100% directly responsible for doing both, and there will be consequences.

Russian officials have already stated that if the US thinks that it can sit back behind the ocean and safely wage war on Russia without direct involvement using proxies while profiting from it, and not pay a price itself, then the US is mistaken.

The recently announced news of the US giving the kiev regime the green light to use 300km ATACMS missiles to target sites within pre-SMO Russia is more for domestic US political effect than to help the ukrops.

There is a shortage of these missiles, the Russians have already shot many of them down over the past year or so, and their use will not change anything for the better for urkops.

The Biden regime is doing this to complicate the situation for Trump and brow-beat him into submission so he does what the establishment wants him to do, just like with the Russian collusion hoax the last time Trump was president. The establishment used these false accusations to force him to adopt an anti-Russian line, sanction Russia, and arm ukraine.

This insidious strategy has worked on Trump before, and may work again.

If Trump bends to the establishment’s demands, further ATACMS launches into pre-SMO Russia may be called off-for now.

What the US, EU and NATO did to ukraine is the equivalent of someone promising all sorts of things to another person if they jump into a bonfire, then pouring gasoline on it. The person who jumped into that fire isn’t coming out alive, and all promises made become worthless.

Post-2024 US Election Analysis

The US presidential election of 2024 has come and gone, and Donald Trump has emerged victorious.

As last time, many fluffy predictions were made, and many hopes were pinned on Trump doing the right thing.

But those hopes were virtually all dashed.

Unfortunately, many people this time around do not remember, or have chosen to forget, the laundry list of fuck-ups and betrayals Trump has engaged in while president between 2017-2020.

Let’s do a quick review of them.


1. Appointed neo-cons to his cabinet

2. Bombed Syria under fake pretexts

3. Ordered assassination of Iranian officials and scientists and almost started a war with Iran

4. Recognized zionist theft of Syrian and Palestinian land (E. Jerusalem and Golan heights)

5. Sent more US occupiers to Syria

6. Openly ordered the theft of Syrian oil

7. Stole Iranian and Venezuelan ships

8. Fomented coups in Venezuela

9. Started trade war with China which only increased prices for the broke-ass US public

10. Closed down Russian consulates and confiscated Russian diplomatic property under pretexts he knew to be false

11. Passed sanctions on Russia under false pretexts

12. Armed ukraine for 4 years

13. Waffled around on Afghanistan when he could have withdrawn from there earlier

14. Withdrew from INF treaty for no valid reason

15. Withdrew from JCPOA deal with Iran for no valid reason


It seems that the horror of almost four years of the Biden regime has clouded peoples’ memories, but Trump’s record is certainly not good.

And if there is but one constant in the US presidential elections, it is that every new president is worse than the last one.

So Donnie of 2024 may turn out to be worse than Biden, and far worse than Donnie of 2016.

We should not get our hopes up considering Trump’s policies, decisions, and narcissistic personality type.

Kamala Harris may be an airhead but Donal Trump is definitely a hot air balloon.

The big question on many peoples’ minds right now is, how will Trump deal with ukraine?

Speculation by ignoramuses with political science degrees in various western newspapers has already started, and seems more like they are trying to push a certain view, and agenda on Trump rather than speculate.

They are already pushing such drivel as Trump agreeing to some freezing of the conflict temporarily and not admitting ukraine to NATO for 20 years.

These are impossible terms that Russia will never accept, because it is clear that during that 20 years, ukraine will be rebuilt, re-armed, admitted to NATO, and then a new, far worse war will be started by it, and all agreements with Russia scrapped under phony reasons which will be blamed on Russia.

Trump and the US establishment will not dictate terms to Russia, especially since Russia is the winner here, and winners dictate terms.

Threatening Russia for not accepting some bad terms put together by professional Russophobes in his regime will only lead to a faster collapse of ukraine, and a greater humiliation for the west.

What are some of the things Trump may do in ukraine?

Knowing how he does things, he will most likely throw the entire responsibility and funding for ukraine onto the EU, and tell them that if they want further support, they must buy US weapons and supplies for ukraine from the US and raise their NATO spending to 4% or more of their GDP. The EU will agree, and bankrupt itself into the poor house much quicker. This is the most realistic possibility.

He may dictate terms to Russia and Kiev, and if either one does not accept, he will help one against the other. This kind of strategy will most likely benefit Kiev, since the US congress and his advisors are anti-Russian. This will most likely result in further, and increased aid to Kiev, and an escalation which could see Kiev collapse much quicker. It could even lead to NATO intervention and trigger a direct NATO-Russia war. This would be the end of the EU and US. This scenario will be supported by Kiev, and many warmongers and pro-ukrop degenerates worldwide, but is not very likely as it is very risky.

He may even deliberately, with much fan-fare and a media blitz, issue unreasonable and unrealistic demands to Russia knowing very well that they will be rejected, and use the rejection as an excuse to launch a worldwide campaign to paint Russia as an unreasonable aggressor who was offered a beautiful deal and rejected it, and therefore killed the chance for peace.

Trump will then use his conservative businessman persona to cajole as many countries as possible to cut ties with, and sanction Russia, especially India and China. The western press will be all too happy to help him do just this.

He will also seek to involve the rest of the world in arming and supplying ukraine. However, this scenario is also very unlikely since US and NATO coffers and arsenals are empty, there is not enough weapons to go around, and most of the world does not want to get involved in this and needs Russia; not to mention what the Russian reaction to such a scheme will be.

Trump may simply abandon the ukraine project and announce that all help from the US will stop, leaving the whole thing for someone else to figure out. In this case, the ukrainian regime will collapse immediately, and the airport in Kiev will be full of private jets departing with passengers for parts unknown. Russians will then decide what happens. EU is irrelevant, and it will not do anything if US walks away, since it cannot afford to.

If Trump wants to get involved in settling the ukrainian war, he will have to recognize Russian concerns and accept Russian demands, regardless of the bullshit he is fed by his advisors and the Kiev regime. As for getting something for it from Putin, Trump, the EU and Kiev better be happy that something of ukraine will be left, and will be able to live in peace as long as the the new Kiev regime and the west honor their part of the bargain. That is the best offer ukrops and the west will get, because Russia definitely owes them nothing else.

And if Trump tries to demand concessions on nuclear arms and missiles from Russia as part of any ukraine deal, he will be disappointed, and will only expose his ignorance. There can be no talk of any strategic arms limitation treaties as long as ukraine and NATO pose any kind of a threat to Russia.

This time, the US, EU, and NATO will have to jointly cough up a lot of concessions top Russia. There is no way around this.

Also, the environment Trump is walking into is not the same as it was when he started or when he left.

Today, the US is weaker, poorer, and less influential than it was. This goes especially for its battered and unprepared military.

Trump will be hobbled by this reality, and hopefully this will prevent him from acting out on impulse, and keep his bravado in check.

There are no good options for him here that will turn back the clock for the US to its past heydays.

But there are also a bunch of wealthy donors that he has to please, and his decisions, including cabinet appointments, will be influenced by this sad fact.

This is especially concerning when it comes to pro-israeli donors, who for their bribes will demand that Trump give zionists all they want.

If he caves in to these degenerates, it could escalate the situation to a very bad level in the Mideast when it comes to Iran.

Last time, Trump's anti-Iranian rabid advisors almost caused a war after Trump ordered the killing of General Soleimani. The zionists will certainly pressure him into bombing Iran and targeting its government. It is doubtful whether this will work, because the consequences for US forces in the region will be catastrophic.

The US military is also in no state to fight a war against Iran. Hopefully, there will be at least one sane cabinet member or general that will be able to explain this to Trump. 

But Trump, out of concern for his image and brand-not pragmatism-may stay away from doing anything against Iran.

Trump said that he will stop the wars and now start new ones. He also recently said that the US is in a weak position and lost much power.

Hopefully, he remembers these things when he sits in the oval office again.

It is also funny how just a week ago, zelstein, as well as officials in the Biden regime and the EU were pontificating about how terrible and dangerous Trump will be for ukraine, that he is a Hitler and a fascist and must be stopped, and cannot be elected.

Now, a week later, these same people are suddenly changing their stripes, buttering Trump up, want to talk to him, and work together, as if nothing ever happened.

This behavior shows the profound level of sycophancy and lack of independence and courage by Kiev and EU regimes.

This servility has even caused the recent collapse of the ruling German coalition, and Germany is now preparing to put in place a government that will be more amicable to Trump.

The EU regimes are like chameleons, changing their colors to fit whatever flavor of president enters the white house.

Watch for other western, and EU governments start to collapse in the coming weeks and months, to align themselves with their new US masters and continue to squeeze out favors and be patted on the head.

The one regime in the EU that is definitely screwed is the Polish one. Earlier this year, Poles elected a liberal government full of freaks of the worst sort, including climate change and LGBT propaganda promoters.

So there may be something happening there soon to also sync itself with the new masters, as Poland has a strange psychological need for US approval and patronage.

Certain countries out there have this deluded notion that they have to be accepted by the US, or else they don’t matter. This broken way of thinking does them more harm than good.

And if Trump fails, and his bad decisions end up costing the US public more than Biden’s foibles have up to now, well, the US public will do what it has always done: take out their frustrations for their own stupidity, failures, shortcomings, and mistakes on others. Better to kill a million people 10,000 miles away than have to live with the shame of admitting their faults. 

We must keep in mind that while some independent voters supported Trump because they hope that Trump will help end the war in ukraine peacefully and come to an agreement with Russia, the majority of Trump's electoral base consists of the MAGA crowd of ignorant 50+ year-old old bumpkins who have been brainwashed by a lifetime of anti-Russian propaganda, hatred of China, North Korea, Iran, and anything else the US establishment wants them to not like. These people also are in love with israel and the zionist regime. They are also militaristic and think that the US military is the best in the world and can do no wrong.

So we have to content with this scenario, which is very possible.

Why the SMO?

Russia’s Special Military Operation (SMO) has been going on now for close to 3 years, with an end in sight.

The ukrop army is experiencing a shortage of everything, and its front is crumbling. Desertions are chronic, and the conscription drive is not going well. Whatever the feelings of the average khokhol are, it seems that most are exhausted by this war that they have been pushed into by the US, EU ,NATO, and their own stupidity.

Almost 3 years in, we can now see why the Special Military Operation was started.

Let’s look at the main reasons:

1. In February of 2014, the maidan revolt in kiev resulted in the overthrow of a democratically elected government and the usurpation of power by nationalist ukrainian fanatics who declared Russians are enemy number one, and must be exterminated. Even before the first shot against ukrop authorities was fired in Donbass, the ukrop fanatics were calling for death of Russians.

It was this threat to ethnic Russians, which would have resulted in ethnic cleansing and repression, that was one of the most important reasons why Russia started the SMO in 2022.

The ukrop army, trained and equipped by US and NATO, was poised to embark on a final military campaign in E. Ukraine that would have caused a humanitarian catastrophe, the likes of one we see today in Gaza at the hands of the vile zionist regime.

This would be followed by a massive exodus of ethnic Russians from E. Ukraine into Russia. The ukrop authorities plan was to rid the Donbass of Russians and repopulate it with western ukrainian banderite rabble and turn the country over to NATO.

It is right before this happened, that Donetsk and Lugansk declared independence and decided to rejoin Russia, and Russia started the SMO to protect and drive back the banderites.

2. In 2015, post-maidan coup ukraine decalred an end to military and strategic neutrality and announced its intention of joining NATO and the EU. NATO military trainers and weapons flowed into ukraine. It was clear that the ukrops were being prepared for something.

Couple this with the total disregard for the Minsk peace process by the US and the EU, and the constant threats by morons in the west about defeating Russia strategically and breaking it up, and NATO´s rejection of Russian security demands presented in late 2021, and Putin deduced what the future would be like. He realized that if he does nothing, that ukraine will be further militarized, emboldened, and serve as a bulwark against Russia, possibly armed with US ICBMS capable of striking into Russia, then invited to join NATO after it was bristling with weapons and foreign bases.

Allowing this situation to develop would lead to a strategic threat emanating from ukraine. It would be akin to Russia arming Mexico, training its army, and stationing medium-range ICBMs there, threatening the US mainland.

The SMO was started to blunt and eliminate this threat, and this has been pretty much accomplished.

3. The failures of western military training and weaponry are numerous, and have caused disillusionment among even once-fervent believers in US military power.

Much hyped western tanks, armored vehicles, air defense systems, and other weapons have been countered and destroyed in numerous numbers by Russians. Everything that the west threw at Russia has been neutralized in some way.

This has led to US and NATO´ humiliation, as well as fear of Russia´s military power, and loss of confidence in US and NATO ability to fight and defeat Russia.

This outcome was also one of the aims of the SMO, to expose and whittle away US and NATO military power, and show their skills at war-fighting as inadequate and hollow. This has been achieved.

4. Up until February 2022, Russia was dependent on western economic and financial institutions, a fact that tied its hands considerably.

After the western sanctions were piled up on Russia, it had to get creative and work overtime to blunt the effects in all sorts fo ways.

This led Russia to establishing new partnerships and associations with other nations, and to the creation fo alternate platforms for managing its economy and finances.

This freed Russia from the pernicious influence of western banks, institutions, questionable standards, and gave Russia freedom to carry out its own economic, political and social policies without hindrance from Washington and Brussels.

Russia has achieved economic freedom for itself during the SMO, and is better for it.

The SMO has become for Russia a bitter medicine, but one that it had to take to cure itself of the many ills that have been imposed on it from the outside, but also from certain internal ones, for the last three decades.

The result today is that the Russian economy has jumped to the #4 spot, and Russian military today is the best-equipped, trained, and prepared in the world. All the anti-Russian stereotypes and myths have been squashed on the fields of ukraine, as have the myths of US and NATO military power.

In Afghanistan, NATO suffered an embarrassment. In ukraine, NATO has been significantly crippled. The next country NATO moves against, it will collapse.

There isn’t much of anything left of this criminal organization.