Monday, September 4, 2023

Ukrainian End-Game

 The ukrop counter-offensive has failed in its aims to recapture the Southern regions and Crimea.

The NATO-provided weapons and training has proven to be substandard and has not helped.

Ukrop losses are over 40,000 since June 4th, but this is a conservative number and the real amount is in the vicinity of 60,000, with a lot more wounded, captured, and missing. Add to that, over 4,000 ukrainian vehicles, including tanks, have been destroyed.

Ukrop soldiers are being massacred, are surrendering, and deserting in droves.

Forced mobilization in ukraine is being resisted more and more, with conscription officers being beat up.

The west is in full panic mode right now, as they have no good options available to them.

Their arsenals are empty, and the US regime has told Kiev that ukraine got everything it needs. This means that they will not get anymore aid, as there is not much left to give.

The Kiev regime and the westoids are now starting to play the blame game. The ukrops are complaining that they did not get enough weapons and support, and the westoids are accusing ukraine of not doing what they were told on the battlefield.

But the simple fact is, that both are pointing fingers at each other for their own collective incompetence and short-sightedness.

Even though this is not being shown much, most EU member states are exhausted by the conflict in ukraine, and want it to end. Their economies and societies are struggling, and this is all becoming unaffordable.

They are nevertheless too scared to say it bluntly and stop supporting Kiev for fear of what the US will do to them. Any abandonment of Kiev will have to be choreographed by NATO and the US, because to them, image is everything.

The US will seek to present a ukrop and western defeat and humiliation as some sort of a compromise that will make it appear like ukraine, US, EU and NATO lost nothing, and that somehow Russia was the one to concede the most, even when Russia gets everything it demanded-which will be the case this time.

Most likely, the US and ukrops will try to bring about a Korean-type situation, which freezes the conflict with a permanent ceasefire or armistice where ukraine gets split in two. In this way, the US still has some ukraine left to exploit, militarize, and use as a base of operations against Russia, just like South Korea.

The US doesn’t want a permanent peace treaty, recognize Russian concerns and demands, and agree to a NATO-free ukraine. NATO wants to lose this war on its terms. But Russia will not accept anything that doesn’t address its security concerns and leaves ukraine as a potential threat in the future.

The upcoming US and EU member-state elections create the necessity of ending this conflict soon because the western politicians cannot afford to have this ukrainian debacle hanging around their necks. They need a happy success story about ukraine to tell the voters during election time. Whether this happens as a result of a ukrainian victory, which is unlikely, or a ukrainian capitulation is irrelevant.

This situation has also exposed the myth of US and NATO military power, and the supposed advanced weaponry they have.

Russians have by now taken out all of the west’s show horses, such as the Patriot air defense system, IRIS-T, Leopard tanks, Bradley and Stryker vehicles, M777 howitzers, HIMARS projectiles, and numerous assorted armored vehicles and weapons systems from NATO member states.

Russia has proven beyond a doubt that it is able to counter and defeat whatever NATO throws at it, without resorting to any nuclear options.

This is very bad news for the US weapons business, because why should now countries buy a US weapon system when this system can be destroyed by Russia? Countries will now opt for what Russia is selling.

The ukrops and westoids underestimated Russia and overestimated their own abilities. Ukrops foolishly thought that sticking their heads up the asses of the US and EU will make them superior, and impervious to whatever Russia tries to throw at them.

Ukrops are finding out the hard way that this is not the case. They are also realizing that the western weapons are actually inferior to old Soviet-era systems.

NATO and the Pentagon have also outed themselves as incompetent ignoramuses who don’t know about Russia, Russian military doctrine, and about how to fight a real, modern combined arms war.

US and NATO equipment is inferior to Russian weaponry, and was not designed to fight in the conditions and situations that exist in ukraine today.

US and NATO tactics are based on fighting expeditionary interventionist campaigns against inferior enemies with no air force and no serious air defense.

US claims of military prowess are based on its experience in Iraq in the early 1990s against a poorly trained, armed, and demoralized Iraqi army. But this prowess doesn’t hold up when it comes to fighting a peer force with modern weapons.

The ukrops and their foreign backers started and lost this war in February of 2014.